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Mosegaard Hansen, Maj-Britt. The structure of modern standard French : a student grammar. p 86.

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  • Italian works pretty much the same, and I suspect this is true for most Romance languages (although I would argue it's more a certain vs uncertain distinction, than a possible vs probable) – Denis Nardin Apr 11 at 8:13
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As I can see this is a quite similar to this moment in the English:

The imperfect subjunctive is also used in "that clauses" after a wish:

I'd rather that it were more substantial.

I wish she were here.

This last example can be contrasted with I want her to be here, in which the indicative rather than the subjunctive is used because there is a substantial possibility that the hypothesis is (or will be) true.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/English_clause_syntax

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I do not know any French so I do not know if you actually want to make a point about the subjunctive vs. the conditional mood. If yes, then I am completely off. Many languages, however, only have on of them and use one where other languages use the other.

In Czech:

Je možné, že by Lukáš nemusel být na setkání. (conditional, less probable)

Je možné, že Lukáš nebude na setkání. (future indicative, more probable)

However, I cannot say that only one of them would be strictly possible with "Je možné" (it is possible) or "Je pravděpodobné" (it is probable).

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